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Most view the Chinese currency as fundamentally strong. Chinese stimulus over the past year has compounded Chinese fragilities – perhaps greatly. Spending was slightly down from a year earlier to $2.014 TN. For the bad news, Net Worth was still down $7.438 TN over the past year. European equities suffered a second day of steep declines (DAX and CAC down another 3%), as risk indicators jumped globally. The implied yield on December 2010 eurodollar futures jumped 21 bps to 1.875%. The 2-year dollar swap spread increased 4.5 to 36.5 bps; the 10-year dollar swap spread increased 3.5 to 20.75 bps; and the 30-year swap spread increased 6.25 to negative 9.5 bps. We now see the strategy of pegging to the dollar coming back to bite. He got invited back years later on the Super Password revival. BJ has been in the beading business for mega years so has a vast collection of beads and all the trinkets and dodads it takes to make jewelry and anything else associated with beads. Of course the Chinese aspire to “reserve currency” status and all the associated perks. Curiously, there was little initial response in yen trading to Tuesday’s Chinese devaluation. The yen then surged an immediate 1% after the PBOC followed through Wednesday with a second devaluation.
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